Well, that went quick. Welcome back, and happy new year.
This kind of thing is always fraught with danger, generally because you'll be able to come back in twelve months and see how wrong we were. But here's FleetStreetBlues' five bold predictions on what the industry can expect to see in 2009...
1) Doom, gloom and a bit more doom. There's no getting away from it, 2009 is going to be a bit of a bastard for journalism. A colleague emailed a FleetStreetBlues correspondent yesterday with the seasonal tidings 'here's hoping our entire profession doesn't collapse.' Damn right. Here's hoping...
2) A national folding. Yes magazines can go under and local papers slash staff, but the dire state of the profession will only really be noticed when a national goes under. Judging from
Roy Greenslade's analysis a couple of weeks ago, the
Sunday Mirror, the
Daily Star Sunday and the
Independent on Sunday are leading contenders...
3) A mea culpa moment. You can't keep cutting journalists and demand ever more from them without something cracking. Yes, reporters make mistakes all the time. But expect something spectacular to emerge next year, a mistake, accidental or otherwise, so unavoidable that news editors the length and breadth of the country will have to sit up and take notice. Britain's
Jayson Blair, if you like.
4) Further clampdowns on press freedom. You'd better believe it,
Sally Murrer's victory not withstanding.
Mr Justice Eady is on the warpath - and the Max Mosley case was just the opening salvo.
5) Guerilla news startups. It can't be all bad news, we need at least one silver lining. The world of print media may be in inexorable decline, but there should still be an appetite for quality journalism, and the challenge for 2009 is, as ever, how to make it pay.
Reportr.net predicts that newsroom redundancies, while never a good thing, will help 'create a pool of trained reporters that may enjoy the freedom of working for small, low-cost, news operations, based in the community and serving the community.' Ditto for specialist journalism, and even entertainment and gossip.
If journalists have a future, this might just be it.